Football is back! And so is my little blog...

Let's take a quick look back at week 1 in college football and a quick look ahead to week 2.

-I'll start with Texas A&M since they represent all that is good and holy in this world. The Aggies first game was postponed due to the hurricane, which was a giant let down for everyone (the cancellation, not the hurricane... the hurricane was just ok... I've had better). So... that's about it for looking back to week 1 for the Ags. I'll revisit them in a bit as I look to week 2.

-How about a little more SEC talk? South Carolina and Vanderbilt went about exactly the way I picture all SEC games going. Poor offense, good defense, low scoring, with the better team eventually winning. People always rave about the SEC defenses and use that a reason why A&M will supposedly get crushed, but I think a large part of the equation is just bad offense. Last year Alabama only played one team all season (Arkansas) that had a top 50 offense. ONE! Meanwhile, A&M played against 5 of the top 13. Some might say it's a chicken and egg scenario (Does the Big 12 have good offenses or bad defenses?) and maybe some  chicken and some egg in it (huh?), but the fact is, the SEC does NOT have dynamic offenses, outside of Arkansas and now, hopefully, A&M. 

-Alabama! SEC! SEC! It's just not fair. I'll just leave it at that. And if you don't know what I'm talking about, just go look at the first half play by play from their game against Michigan. They are this year's national champions, in my opinion.

-Florida, who I did watch closely since they are playing A&M this week, looked... ok. They were just ok as a team last year, and there's not much to suggest they'll improve this year. Which isn't to say they're bad, they just aren't on the level they used to be, and they are beatable. They do have athletes though. They also have what the French call a certain... I don't know what, but whatever it is, it comes from being a program that has been really good for a long time. They don't have much at quarterback though and that will cost them a few games this year. And their defense didn't play nearly as well as I thought it would.

Now, on to some non-SEC stuff.

-The Longhorns, who naturally represent all that is evil and dirty in this world, had an easy win against Wyoming. I didn't see it so I can't comment on much, but my opinion all summer on the Horns' prospects has been this: a very good defense, and an offense that will be better than last year, both running and passing, though still not explosive, which will lead to 9 (most likely) or 10 wins. I felt like this game somewhat went with my predictions. The running game does look better, and t.u. has a few good backs that are each different in style. Two running backs rushed for 100+, which I'm assuming hasn't happened in a very long time for them. The passing game led by Davis Ash still doesn't produce big plays, but at least he protected the ball. That right there is a big reason I see t.u. winning more games this year. I could certainly talk more about them but I feel very dirty right now so let's move on.

-OU looked pretty bad for three quarters against a bad team. Very interesting development. They are still a highly regarded team but I get the sense that they're just teetering on the edge of falling back down to normalcy. I think Bob Stoops is one of the best, so I'll be interested to see how they handle this season. The good news for them is that the Big 12 only has one other school that recruits as well as they do, so they still have as much talent as anyone, although West Virginia's offense appears to be in a league of its own.

-West Virginia came within one missed extra point of scoring 70 points in back to back games, dating back to last year's bowl game. I spent all summer rolling my eyes at how people were overrating WVU. People seemed to only look at the bowl game and assume that WVU scored 70 every week, when in reality they did have a few struggles here and there. Seeing them come right out of the gate this year has changed my opinion on them somewhat, and I now have them winning the Big 12. The only two teams that I think have a chance to slow them down are OU and Texas, and both of those teams have issues of their own. So I have WVU winning the conference with an 11-1 record. Full prediction below.

-Baylor looked great. I know, I know, it was just SMU that they played, but the fact is, they racked up over 600 yards of offense despite losing the Heisman Trophy winner, a wide receiver that went in the first round of the NFL draft, and a running back that set the all-time single season rushing record for their school last year. You'd expect a drop-off, but there was none. I've been high on Baylor this off-season. I have still had them as an 8 or 9 win team even without RG3, because they are still with Art Briles. Briles is an evil genius, and I think we're really going to see that this year as their offense is almost as good as it was last year. Baylor has done a great job of re-inventing themselves, branding themselves as a "cool" football team, wearing flashy uniforms (their basketball team does as well), and having a superstar to help the image. Even with an atrocious defense last year, Baylor won 10 games. This year, they lose a little on offense but their defense should slightly improve, and I have them going 9-3. 

-I can't go without a quick mention of the Houston game against Texas State. WOW. So Houston goes 12-1 last year, loses their coach to Texas A&M, and promptly loses their first game, in which they were favored by about 35 points to a team that just started playing FBS football. All I know is that after seeing that score pop up, I immediately felt even better about the fact that Kevin Sumlin is A&M's coach, because for them to crumble like that in the first game without Sumlin tells me that Sumlin was the key ingredient in Houston's success. Another interesting note from that game is that in the days following, Houston's offensive coordinator Mike Nesbitt resigned. After one game. It's somewhat reminiscent of how Kevin Sumlin, who coached at A&M in 2002, got his first opportunity to be an offensive coordinator. A&M's offense was struggling badly under Dino Babers, and in the middle of the season, R.C. Slocum demoted Babers and promoted Sumlin, and just like that, A&M's offense improved. Scoring went up by 50%, and A&M ended up beating #1 ranked Oklahoma in one of the most memorable games ever at Kyle Field. 10 years later, Sumlin has now ascended to one of the highest levels you can reach, and back at the school he just left, the same thing is essentially happening ... something something circle of life.

Looking ahead to Week 2, from the viewpoint of a degenerate gambler:

-A&M (-2) vs. Florida: I can't really say too much that hasn't already been said about this game. Being the featured game of the week on ESPN, having College Gameday there, it's been talked about plenty. A&M new quarterback, A&M no depth at defensive line, Florida two quarterbacks, A&M home field advantage, blah blah blah. So I'll just go for the old journalistic trick of attempting to make connections to similar situations in the past. Here goes.

In 1989, R.C. Slocum took over and in his very first game, he hosted a top 10 SEC opponent. A&M was coming off of a 7 win season. And in an "I'm here to be reckoned with" statement game, he led his Ags to a 28-16 victory and went on to have a hall of fame coaching career.

Now, Sumlin inherits a team coming off of a 7 win season, and opens the year with a traditional SEC powerhouse at Kyle Field.

The fact is, even with the fact that A&M hasn't played a game yet and Florida has, Sumlin can still come in and make a big, fat statement to the SEC and all of college football and win this first game.

I was a student when A&M's offense was sputtering so badly in 2002 that R.C. demoted Babers mid-season and promoted Sumlin, and Sumlin, with the exact same players and playbook, increased our scoring average by over 50% and led us to an upset of the #1 team in the nation. He's a badass and he has been for a LONG time. He's not going to let the fact that this is the first game affect anything. He's going to go out and lead the team and have them ready. We may win, we may not, but we'll be ready.

In that LSU game in 1989, A&M's Larry Horton returned the opening kickoff of the game for a touchdown. How sweet would it be if Trey Williams did the exact same thing this Saturday...

I believe Sumlin is THE man for our program, and he will announce as much by leading us to a win over Florida. My official pick: A&M- 27, Florida, 24. (It's not one I'd bet on though)

Other gambling picks for the week:

I really like Georgia (-2.5) over Mizzou. 

I like Michigan (-21) over Air Force (assuming Air Force still isn't allowed to use planes).

I like Ohio State (-18) over Central Florida.

I like Miami (+7) over Kansas State, and would probably also throw a bet down on the moneyline for Miami, because I think there's a great shot they'll win the game.

I like Iowa State (+5) over Iowa and again, would consider a moneyline bet on ISU.

I like New Mexico (+38) against t.u. I think t.u. will easily win, of course, but they don't have the type of offense to cover very many 38 point spreads.

I like Louisiana Tech (-3.5) over Houston. 

I like Nebraska (-6) over UCLA. 

That's it. I may add some over/unders but haven't really looked at them yet. Last week, I didn't post picks here but I went 5-2 on picks against the spread posted on another website. They were:

Baylor (-9)- win
Baylor (OVER)- win
Michigan (+14)- loss
Boise (UNDER)- win
Stanford (-24)- loss
Texas State (+36)- win
Wyoming (+31.5)- win

Oh, and I almost forgot. I was going to make a couple predictions. Official prediction for A&M is 8-4 and has been all along for me. Bama wins the SEC and the whole country and maybe even plays an all-star football team from the USSR and beats them too to win the world. In the Big 12, which I still feel most knowledgeable about, I'm going with WVU at 1 loss, OU, t.u., and Baylor with 3 losses, TCU, KSU, and OSU right behind them, and ISU, KU, and Tech all struggling with only 1 or 2 conference wins. I haven't added all that up to make sure the math works, but something in that general vicinity is my prediction.

Vegas, baby!

So last week I had the privilege (it took me four tries to spell that word correctly) of spending a long weekend in Vegas with my good friend Shailen. The entire purpose/goal of the trip was to spend Friday night, all day Saturday and all day Sunday doing absolutely nothing other than watching football, preferably in front of about 100 t.v.s. And we accomplished this goal, for the most part, though I managed to ruin a good portion of the trip via the magical art of vomiting, as is my custom. I have a Ripken-like streak going on of getting sick and/or injured when traveling.

We stayed at Aria, which is French for "area," and it was a very nice area. We had a lot of fun, despite witnessing another awful collapse by the Aggies (at least I made money on that one, as I wholeheartedly agree with the "victory tax" method of betting against your own team). What I thought was particularly entertaining about the trip was just how old and lame we've become, which I will now share with you.

You see, Shailen and I met in college, when we were young, somewhat cool (well, Shailen was), and capable of staying up past midnight. We were part of the ironic cool crowd of Fish Camp counselors, young men who were willing to not only admit to listening to N'Sync but who could also demonstrate with military-like precision the entire "Bye Bye Bye" dance if necessary. And part of that still remains- we still have a man crush on Justin Timberlake- but somewhere along the way, we got old, and in Shailen's case, bald.

So while we like to still think we're young and hip, the fact is that Shailen has a child and has no hair, and I have a belly I never had before and take maintenance medications and have to be careful about what time I drink caffeine. It's just not the same. But Vegas is there for people like us to level the field, to party, to hold on to our youth. Right? RIGHT?!??!?

Well, truth is, I'm not a party animal and never have been. And I can't speak for Shailen, but based on our weekend, let's just say his party days are long gone as well.

Let me paint a few little pictures for you that will demonstrate just how not cool we now are:

1. If you ever wanted to know what the opposite of "doing Vegas right" is, I think we managed to stumble upon it with this one, regarding sleep and sleeping arrangements. We were in Vegas for three nights. Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. Our bedtimes? 10 p.m., 10 p.m., and 11 p.m. And here's the kicker: while other people were out trading various diseases with each other (and I'm not saying I wished to be those people or have even been those people in my younger days), Shailen and I were sharing a single bed... that is, until my snoring caused him to go sleep on the floor in the bathroom for two consecutive nights. And let me tell you, there are few things more startling than waking up at 4 a.m. to pee, feeling your way to the bathroom, turning on the light and finding a bald Indian asleep on the floor when you expected a clear path the toilet. Plus it's just sad.

The good news is that for the last night, we upgraded to a suite and I demanded that Shailen take the bed and I slept on the couch, which was fine. Anyway, let's move on to our next uncool example.

2. This is a short one, but it stings. Here's how you know you're neither young nor cool anymore. At many of these Vegas hotels that also include in-house night clubs, they have slutty looking girls walking around to promote these night clubs by giving out "VIP" passes (which anyone can have) to said clubs. That is, unless you are me. The fact that I walked by these girls not once or twice but three separate times and didn't even get offered a second glance, much less a phony VIP card, is almost enough to make me weep in public. Because to be clear, I'm fairly sure their instructions are to pass those passes out to anyone that is under 60 and "not the biggest loser you've ever seen." It was the second one that apparently got me.

(For the record, from what I saw, Shailen did get a pass one time, but was ignored one time as well, which made me feel better.)

3. This one's a little harder to describe, but one thing we decided to do was to eat a nice, expensive dinner. You could almost say this was our way of embracing our new-found oldness, eschewing the fast food mentality of our youth and enjoying a nice meal. And it was lovely. Yes, lovely. But even in the midst of our lovely man-date to a fancy restaurant (American Fish at Aria, if you were curious), we managed to be reminded over and over about how uncool we are. See, this meal was about maybe seeing if we were cool as adults, since we'd given up on being cool as young adults. So to that end, Shailen ordered a four part meal that included wine pairings with each course. I ordered fancy looking appetizers and a $70 steak. We both, for reasons still unknown, tried bourbon. And that's where it all started going wrong.

Shailen had, in another futile attempt to look like a cool adult, tried a glass of straight scotch earlier in the trip. As expected, he hated it. So then he started wondering what other drinks he could try that would look cool. So when our waitress asked us if we wanted a drink, I told her Shailen would like a bourbon, but unfortunately that led to me having to get one as well. I will never forget the look on his face as he tried it. It was such an unpleasant look that it caused me to literally fear taking a sip of mine.

Here is what Shailen tweeted immediately after trying bourbon: Bourbon is the same as scotch. WHY DIDN'T ANYONE TELL ME? #itburnsthethroat

So we both struggled through that. In more uncool news, at one point the waitress asked me how I like my bullet. "My what?" I replied. "Bulliet is the kind of bourbon I gave you," she said. "Oh... um... not my favorite," I murmured. To which she replied with an evil smile and obvious sarcasm, "Can I get you another one?" NO YOU MAY NOT, DEVIL WOMAN!

Unfortunately I don't remember the other specific quotes, but suffice to say there were three or four more times where she caught us confusedly discussing what we were supposed to be doing or not doing regarding various parts of the fancy meal, and each time she would give us very disapproving looks, but then I think she actually started enjoying messing with us, offering us stuff that I think was made up and at point, I'm pretty sure she pointed and giggled. I'm used to that though...

4. Um, so remember when I mentioned Justin Timberlake earlier? So, through pure coincidence, it turns out there was a Timberlake show happening that very weekend, at Planet Hollywood. And I got tickets. If there is ever an example of how far we've fallen, it is this. On Saturday, I woke up feeling crappy, and ended up throwing up all day. I watched some football, slept some, puked a lot, but still had the Timberlake show in the back of my mind. It was set to start at 8. At about 5:30, Shailen went to go get some food and watch some more football at the sportsbook. As 8 p.m. approached, I kept waiting for Shailen to come back and get his ticket and go, and maybe I'd muster up the energy to go. Well, long story short, 8 o'clock came and went with nary a mention of Timberlake. Shailen came back to the room at 8:30, and we just laid around and went to sleep at 10. I was surprised he passed on the show, but at the same time, I wasn't. He's a nice guy, and I'm sure one reason he didn't is that I wasn't up for it. So the tickets went to waste. Very sad.

So, all in all, we just aren't young or cool anymore. And I haven't decided if I'm ok with that. But I am forced to at least acknowledge that it's true. My one parting shot confirmed it. As I was packing up to head to the airport (I had already taken Shailen earlier), I looked around the room. By my couch/bed, there was Pepto Bismol, pramipexole (for my restless legs), my inhaler, and some Advil. By Shailen's bed, I noticed some Sominex he had left behind. He had probably needed that to sleep on the bathroom floor.

Watty's Week 4 computer picks

Disclaimer I'm still giving for at least another week or two: these numbers still aren't really meaningful for several teams, since I'm still using some of last year's stats. I think after about 5 weeks, this year's numbers will be meaningful and will be the only numbers I use. So again, for some teams, they are pretty good, but for teams with a lot of turnover from last year or with major changes at quarterback or head coach, some of these are still not statistically relevant. That being said, here are the Week 4 picks:


Teams Prediction 1 Prediction 2 Vegas spread

Oklahoma State 31 41
Texas A&M 37 36 -4.5/70

North Carolina State 26 28
Cincinnati 26 35 -7.5/60.5

UCF 17 20
BYU 19 25 -2.5/42.5

Colorado 14 18
Ohio State 36 33 -16.5/44.5

Tulane 27 28
Duke 39 31 -10/55

Toledo 18 20
Syracuse 22 19 -2.5/55

UAB 38 32
East Carolina 34 30 -14/60.5

UTEP 10 12
South Florida 27 27 -29/47.5

Western Michigan 27 27
Illinois 28 36 -12.5/53

Ohio 20 21
Rutgers 11 19 -4.5/50.5

Eastern Michigan 13 12
Penn State 35 29 -28.5/44.5

Kansas State 20 25
Miami (Florida) 31 29 -12/47.5

SMU 36 36 -21.5/54
Memphis 17 16

Temple 19 20
Maryland 18 26 -8.5/51.5

Central Michigan 11 10
Michigan State 29 30 -21.5/49.5

Georgia 45 51 -9/54
Mississippi 27 30

Bowling Green 13 13
Miami (Ohio) 21 18 -4/52.5

Army 21 20 -4/50.5
Ball State 22 20

Virginia Tech 23 27 -20.5/46.5
Marshall 9 15

Arkansas 23 27
Alabama 36 44 -12/50.5

California 26 28
Washington 21 28 -1/58.5

LSU 13 21 -5.5/49.5
West Virginia 17 28

San Diego State 39 39
Michigan 36 36 -10.5/57

North Carolina 41 35
Georgia Tech 50 50 -7/58.5

Florida 21 27 -19.5/44
Kentucky 21 32

Notre Dame 21 24 -7/54.5
Pittsburgh 15 21

Florida State 18 23
Clemson 18 23 -2.5/50

New Mexico State 19 18
San Jose State 23 18 -10.5/46.5

Fresno State 19 21 -3/52
Idaho 19 17

Connecticut 13 17 -8.5/46.5
Buffalo 9 12

UCLA 23 23
Oregon State 30 24 -5/49.5

Nevada 30 33
Texas Tech 66 54 -17/61

Vanderbilt 20 18
South Carolina 31 41 -15.5/50

Louisiana Tech 23 25
Mississippi State 45 38 -19/59

Rice 42 38
Baylor 78 59 -20.5/67

Southern Mississippi 35 33
Virginia 37 31 -3/52.5

Nebraska 26 30 -21.5/59
Wyoming 25 31

Missouri 29 31
Oklahoma 25 35 -21/56.5

Colorado State 19 16
Utah State 27 26 -9.5/56

Tulsa 21 22
Boise State 54 44 -28/62

Oregon 59 64 -15/64.5
Arizona 29 28

USC 22 22
Arizona State 33 38 -2.5/53.5

Florida Atlantic 10 11
Auburn 50 53 -31.5/57.5

Watty's Week 3 College Football computer picks

Here are my computer formula-based picks for week 3 of the college football season. I'm still using 2010 stats plus 2011, so a lot of these are still meaningless, but there still isn't enough 2011 data for that be meaningful on its own. Maybe after a couple more weeks. So here are the picks, along with the Vegas lines as of Tuesday.


Prediction Vegas line
LSU 27 -4/49.5
Mississippi State 28

Boise State 42 -20/60.5
Toledo 23

Iowa State 17
Connecticut 20 -4/43.5

West Virginia 20
Maryland 27 0/57

Auburn 50
Clemson 28 -3.5/61.5

Pittsburgh 21
Iowa 30 -3/50.5

Akron 9
Cincinnati 34 -34.5/56.5

Wyoming 17
Bowling Green 17 -9.5/54.5

Eastern Michigan 19
Michigan 53 -28.5/63

Penn State 19 -6.5/44.5
Temple 21

Central Michigan 17
Western Michigan 24 -7.5/55.5

Mississippi 30 -2/47
Vanderbilt 25

Duke 17
Boston College 19 -7/47.5

Kansas 20
Georgia Tech 36 -14.5/61

Colorado State 21
Colorado 29 -7/50

Wisconsin 44 -16.5/64
Northern Illinois 38

Miami (Ohio) 17
Minnesota 22 -5/46.5

Tennessee 29
Florida 33 -9.5/51

Michigan State 27
Notre Dame 27 -4.5/51.5

Virginia 25
North Carolina 31 -10/48

Texas 26 -4/43.5
UCLA 22

Washington 21
Nebraska 38 -17/55

Texas Tech 43 -21/55.5
New Mexico 12

Northwestern 25 -7/54.5
Army 23

Tulane 20
UAB 27 -13/54

Navy 32
South Carolina 40 -16.5/58

Washington State 25
San Diego State 41 -5/58

Louisville 24
Kentucky 36 -5.5/41

Houston 34 -6.5/70.5
Louisiana Tech 25

Marshall 13
Ohio 20 -.3/47.5

Idaho 16
Texas A&M 37 -35.5/57.5

Buffalo 11
Ball State 14 -4.5/52

Arizona State 35
Illinois 33 -1/59

Kent State 12
Kansas State 31 -17.5/46.5

Syracuse 19
USC 31 -16.5/47

Oklahoma 35 -3.5/55
Florida State 31

UTEP 23
New Mexico State 14 -3/49.5

Ohio State 35
Miami (Florida) 27 -2.5/47.5

Utah 25
BYU 21 -3.5/46

Oklahoma State 61 -13.5/69
Tulsa 38

Hawai'i 43 -20/59
UNLV 16

Stanford 46 -9/54.5
Arizona 33

Louisiana-Monroe 13
TCU 39 -29/52

Arkansas State 22
Virginia Tech 36 -24/53

UCF 26 -5.5/51
Florida International 21

North Texas 15
Alabama 54 -46/53.5

Troy 27
Arkansas 62 -22.5/63.5

Watty's Week 2 computer picks

My super secret formula at work again... And again, early in the season, some of these are pretty worthless, though some are pretty good. For now, I'm using all of 2010 plus 2011, so for teams without much turnover, I have a pretty good model, but obviously for teams like Auburn and TCU, it's pretty worthless until we have a few more weeks of real data. That being said, here's what I have for this week. In theory obviously, if you were using this to make picks, you'd look for ones with huge differences between my model and the actual lines and pick accordingly. But based on my admission that these are mostly last year's numbers and that I pretty much just made this model up myself, you'd be pretty stupid to use this for real money betting (though I think I actually have a pretty good model... did I say that already?)

p.s. Sorry about the weird formatting. I suck at computers and internets.

        Prediction Vegas Line
BYU          19
Texas          28         -7/48

Missouri         28
Arizona State 22 -10/51

Oregon State 17
Wisconsin   34 -20.5/57.5

Iowa                 25      -6.5/44.5
Iowa State 15

Toledo        9
Ohio State 38 -17.5/52.5

Mississippi State 32 -5.5/57
Auburn                35

Northern Illinois 35 -4.5/62
Kansas                17

UTEP        18
SMU        26 -19.5/54

Cincinnati         25
Tennessee         31 -4.5/56

Virginia Tech 53 -17.5/63.5
East Carolina 24

Nevada        25
Oregon        46 -26.5/63

California         28 -6.5/47
Colorado         22

Alabama         32 -9.5/42
Penn State 13

TCU                 25
Air Force    21 -1/49.5

South Carolina 25 -3/51.5
Georgia        29

UAB        18
Florida        39 -23.5/53.5

Utah                 25
USC                 27 -8.5/51.5

Notre Dame 34 -3/55
Michigan         29

Houston        39 -21.5/64.5
North Texas 27

College football week 1 computer predictions

One thing I thought would be fun (for me, at least) would be to try to come up with my own statistical model to use to try to predict the outcomes of college football games. A couple people on texags.com already do it, so I stole the idea from them and decided to give it a try this year.

Basically I compiled all the stats I felt were relevant, and then organized them and created ratings (relative to the average) for a handful of different categories. Then, using my own ideas of how they relate to each other, made a few formulas that I can use to plug those statistics in and then get a prediction for how those teams will fare against each other. Basically I do two sets of predictions and then average them. One of them looks at things from one team's offensive perspective and pits them against the defense's ratings, and the other looks at that same team's defensive stats and pits those against their opponents offensive ratings. From there, I add in home field advantage and my own top secret rating to account for strength of schedule, and out comes a prediction.

I will try to post these each Thursday in advance of that weekend's games. I'll probably only do around 20 games a week, mainly Big 12 games and other games of note, simply because it can be a little time consuming. And for the first few weeks, I'm forced to use last season's stats, which admittedly is somewhat useless. I am hoping that about 3 or 4 weeks in, each team will have enough current history to maybe make some semi-valid predictions. Until then, I'm using last year's numbers and with all the year-to-year turnover in college football, it renders these predictions pretty useless, but still fun. I expect that some of them will be pretty good, and some of them will be wildly wrong.

As you'll see, a few of these really jump out, and for some of them, there are obvious reasons. The Auburn score, for example, is obviously affected by the fact that Cam Newton was on the team last year. Everyone with a brain this year has rated Auburn to be worse than they were last year, so take this first prediction for what it's worth.

Some big numbers also pop up. Oklahoma State will supposedly score 72 points. That may sound crazy, but at the same time, that actually probably does happen once a week in college football, so it's not much of a stretch to say that OSU could do that this week. I actually kind of like the fact that my predictions include some huge blowouts and high scoring games, because those things do happen in real life, but people rarely predict them.

Anyway, all that being said, here is what came out of my computer for week 1:


Teams/Vegas line/My computer prediction

TCU -6/56       36
Baylor              24

SMU                26
A&M -16/56     36

UNLV               11
Wisc -35/56    36

Miss St -29      50
Memphis          12

Wake Forest      7
Syracuse -6     30

Utah St               16
Auburn -22/56    62

Akron                     6
Ohio St -34/48     47

Miami (OH)               9
Mizzou -17/47.5      31

Kent St                      6
Alabama -37/45.5    30

UCLA                     28
Houston -3/61.5     56

W. Michigan             34
Michigan -14/61       33

Minnesota               26
USC -21/51.5         47

S. Florida                   15
Notre Dame -10/47    19

BYU -3/55                  35
Mississippi                 30

S. Carolina -20/62      62
E. Carolina                 28

Rice                           19
t.u. -24/55                  48

Tulsa                         31
OU -24.5/64.5           58

Boise St -3.5/51         27
Georgia                      17

Oregon -3/55          32
LSU                         22

ULaLa                           18
Ok State -36.5/62.5       72

FAU                              10
Florida -35/46.5            35