Friday, September 9, 2011

Watty's Week 2 computer picks


My super secret formula at work again... And again, early in the season, some of these are pretty worthless, though some are pretty good. For now, I'm using all of 2010 plus 2011, so for teams without much turnover, I have a pretty good model, but obviously for teams like Auburn and TCU, it's pretty worthless until we have a few more weeks of real data. That being said, here's what I have for this week. In theory obviously, if you were using this to make picks, you'd look for ones with huge differences between my model and the actual lines and pick accordingly. But based on my admission that these are mostly last year's numbers and that I pretty much just made this model up myself, you'd be pretty stupid to use this for real money betting (though I think I actually have a pretty good model... did I say that already?)

p.s. Sorry about the weird formatting. I suck at computers and internets.

        Prediction Vegas Line
BYU          19
Texas          28         -7/48

Missouri         28
Arizona State 22 -10/51

Oregon State 17
Wisconsin   34 -20.5/57.5

Iowa                 25      -6.5/44.5
Iowa State 15

Toledo        9
Ohio State 38 -17.5/52.5

Mississippi State 32 -5.5/57
Auburn                35

Northern Illinois 35 -4.5/62
Kansas                17

UTEP        18
SMU        26 -19.5/54

Cincinnati         25
Tennessee         31 -4.5/56

Virginia Tech 53 -17.5/63.5
East Carolina 24

Nevada        25
Oregon        46 -26.5/63

California         28 -6.5/47
Colorado         22

Alabama         32 -9.5/42
Penn State 13

TCU                 25
Air Force    21 -1/49.5

South Carolina 25 -3/51.5
Georgia        29

UAB        18
Florida        39 -23.5/53.5

Utah                 25
USC                 27 -8.5/51.5

Notre Dame 34 -3/55
Michigan         29

Houston        39 -21.5/64.5
North Texas 27

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