Friday, September 9, 2011
Watty's Week 2 computer picks
My super secret formula at work again... And again, early in the season, some of these are pretty worthless, though some are pretty good. For now, I'm using all of 2010 plus 2011, so for teams without much turnover, I have a pretty good model, but obviously for teams like Auburn and TCU, it's pretty worthless until we have a few more weeks of real data. That being said, here's what I have for this week. In theory obviously, if you were using this to make picks, you'd look for ones with huge differences between my model and the actual lines and pick accordingly. But based on my admission that these are mostly last year's numbers and that I pretty much just made this model up myself, you'd be pretty stupid to use this for real money betting (though I think I actually have a pretty good model... did I say that already?)
p.s. Sorry about the weird formatting. I suck at computers and internets.
Prediction Vegas Line
BYU 19
Texas 28 -7/48
Missouri 28
Arizona State 22 -10/51
Oregon State 17
Wisconsin 34 -20.5/57.5
Iowa 25 -6.5/44.5
Iowa State 15
Toledo 9
Ohio State 38 -17.5/52.5
Mississippi State 32 -5.5/57
Auburn 35
Northern Illinois 35 -4.5/62
Kansas 17
UTEP 18
SMU 26 -19.5/54
Cincinnati 25
Tennessee 31 -4.5/56
Virginia Tech 53 -17.5/63.5
East Carolina 24
Nevada 25
Oregon 46 -26.5/63
California 28 -6.5/47
Colorado 22
Alabama 32 -9.5/42
Penn State 13
TCU 25
Air Force 21 -1/49.5
South Carolina 25 -3/51.5
Georgia 29
UAB 18
Florida 39 -23.5/53.5
Utah 25
USC 27 -8.5/51.5
Notre Dame 34 -3/55
Michigan 29
Houston 39 -21.5/64.5
North Texas 27
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